Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hartman wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.3% vs Gourde 49.5% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 77.6%
Defensive zone
Hartman 52.6%
Neutral zone
Hartman 60.3%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Hartman
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Hartman
Gourde
Last 8: Hartman 3-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Hartman
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
3
Hartman
Gourde
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
2
0
Hartman
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (936)
49.1% (731)
-4.3%
Power Play
49.4% (154)
54.3% (81)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (54)
48.2% (85)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Hartman shoots right. Gourde is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Hartman
Gourde
Home
47.4% (568)
50.9% (479)
Away
42.4% (576)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Hartman
Gourde
P1
47.2%
51.2%
P2
43.4%
49.8%
P3
43.8%
47.5%
OT
53.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2022 | 3 | 13:40 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 3 | 13:30 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 3 | 10:29 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 3 | 00:20 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 2 | 14:29 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 2 | 03:35 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 2 | 03:32 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 1 | 10:03 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |