Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.6%). Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs McLeod 49.6% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 19-10 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 56.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 54.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.1%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Backlund
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
19
(29 meetings)
10
19
Backlund
McLeod
Last 10: Backlund 4-6 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
8
Backlund
McLeod
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
2
Backlund
McLeod
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
4
9
Backlund
McLeod
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,410)
50.4% (3,345)
-0.7%
Power Play
51.6% (1,336)
51.0% (292)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (2,446)
44.3% (635)
-0.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Backlund shoots left. McLeod is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Backlund
McLeod
Home
49.7% (8,565)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
48.3% (8,632)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Backlund
McLeod
P1
48.5%
50.8%
P2
50.3%
48.4%
P3
48.4%
50.0%
OT
44.1%
37.1%
Final 5 min
48.3%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 18:12 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 9, 2024 | OT | 01:58 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 10:32 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 18:05 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 04:49 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 01:19 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 15:10 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 14:55 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 17:24 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:09 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:01 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 14:54 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |