Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs McLeod 49.6% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 92.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 66.4%
Neutral zone
McLeod 56.0%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Dowd
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
14
(21 meetings)
7
14
Dowd
McLeod
Last 10: Dowd 4-6 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
12
Dowd
McLeod
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
4
1
Dowd
McLeod
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
1
Dowd
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (6,009)
50.4% (3,345)
+2.0%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
51.0% (292)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,635)
44.3% (635)
-0.2%
On power play, Dowd has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Dowd shoots right. McLeod is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,490).
Home / Away
Dowd
McLeod
Home
51.9% (3,897)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
49.5% (3,912)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Dowd
McLeod
P1
51.7%
50.8%
P2
50.4%
48.4%
P3
50.3%
50.0%
OT
45.9%
37.1%
Final 5 min
50.5%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 18:02 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 07:14 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:11 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:37 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:24 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 1 | 04:11 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 18:54 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 18:30 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:47 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 16:57 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 01:10 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 9, 2022 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 9, 2022 | 3 | 03:56 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |