Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. McLeod wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 47.7% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 62.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 60.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 56.2%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
McLeod
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McLeod
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
McLeod
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (448)
56.6% (1,064)
-8.8%
Power Play
48.1% (52)
60.4% (260)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (25)
54.0% (261)
-18.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. McLeod is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (320).
McLeod shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
McLeod
O'Reilly
Home
46.6% (253)
54.9% (801)
Away
47.8% (272)
58.7% (784)
By Period
McLeod
O'Reilly
P1
43.9%
58.0%
P2
45.9%
56.7%
P3
52.1%
55.4%
OT
50.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
49.2%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 09:39 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 1 | 17:44 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |