Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. McLeod wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 47.7% vs Lorentz 47.6% (+1.7%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 52.3%
Defensive zone
McLeod 58.4%
Neutral zone
McLeod 54.8%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
McLeod
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (448)
46.5% (101)
+1.3%
Power Play
48.1% (52)
33.3% (3)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (25)
37.5% (8)
-1.5%
On power play, McLeod has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. McLeod is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (320).
McLeod shoots left. Lorentz is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
McLeod
Lorentz
Home
46.6% (253)
49.1% (53)
Away
47.8% (272)
42.4% (59)
By Period
McLeod
Lorentz
P1
43.9%
48.6%
P2
45.9%
36.7%
P3
52.1%
57.7%
Final 5 min
49.2%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.2%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.5%