Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 47.8% vs Lorentz 50.0% (-2.4%)
Offensive zone
McLeod 54.8%
Defensive zone
McLeod 63.7%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 52.6%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
McLeod
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (796)
52.2% (67)
-3.0%
Power Play
44.8% (87)
50.0% (2)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (263)
42.9% (21)
+0.4%
On power play, Lorentz has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. McLeod is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (748).
McLeod shoots left. Lorentz is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (55).
Home / Away
McLeod
Lorentz
Home
49.2% (575)
55.4% (65)
Away
45.9% (571)
36.0% (25)
By Period
McLeod
Lorentz
P1
52.8%
59.3%
P2
45.1%
47.1%
P3
45.6%
44.8%
Final 5 min
44.4%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%