Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 47.9%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 48.4% vs Lorentz 48.2% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 60.3%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 58.2%
Neutral zone
McLeod 50.4%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
McLeod
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McLeod
Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
1
McLeod
Lorentz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (500)
48.3% (497)
+0.7%
Power Play
43.8% (48)
63.6% (11)
-19.8%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (50)
38.5% (39)
+5.5%
On power play, Lorentz has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. McLeod is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (370).
McLeod shoots left. Lorentz is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
McLeod
Lorentz
Home
50.9% (291)
50.4% (238)
Away
45.6% (307)
46.0% (309)
By Period
McLeod
Lorentz
P1
44.3%
49.1%
P2
52.4%
48.0%
P3
47.8%
47.2%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 07:35 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 2 | 17:55 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |