Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 52.1% vs Lorentz 46.6% (+15.9%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 61.2%
Defensive zone
McLeod 61.3%
Neutral zone
McLeod 56.4%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
McLeod
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (904)
30.8% (26)
+22.1%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (241)
57.1% (7)
-8.1%
On even strength, McLeod has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
McLeod shoots left. Lorentz is 36.8% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
McLeod
Lorentz
Home
51.8% (612)
35.0% (20)
Away
52.9% (592)
38.5% (13)
By Period
McLeod
Lorentz
P1
55.4%
38.5%
P2
50.8%
37.5%
P3
51.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
36.4%