Auston Matthews vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 51.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 84.5%
Defensive zone
Matthews 80.6%
Neutral zone
Matthews 81.9%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 82.7%
82.7%
17.3%
Matthews
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Matthews
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Matthews 4-1 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (795)
46.7% (137)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (32)
39.1% (23)
+4.7%
On even strength, Matthews has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Matthews is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Matthews shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Matthews
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.5% (454)
53.9% (89)
Away
50.1% (413)
35.2% (71)
By Period
Matthews
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
54.8%
50.9%
P2
52.2%
36.7%
P3
48.1%
48.2%
Final 5 min
54.1%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
64.0%▲
60.5%
51.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 18:06 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 11:47 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |