Brady Tkachuk vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tkachuk wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 78.5%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 73.9%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 52.0%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Tkachuk 3-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
0
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (99)
46.7% (137)
+1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Tkachuk is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Tkachuk shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
50.7% (136)
53.9% (89)
Away
43.4% (113)
35.2% (71)
By Period
Tkachuk
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
45.9%
50.9%
P2
54.4%
36.7%
P3
42.2%
48.2%
Final 5 min
41.8%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
47.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 | 00:31 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |