John Tavares vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Tavares wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 52.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.9% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 71.7%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 59.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 7: Tavares 6-1 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
5
1
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (1,239)
48.3% (633)
+4.6%
Power Play
54.7% (309)
64.6% (48)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (178)
43.0% (86)
+7.0%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Tavares is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,124).
Tavares shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
55.0% (864)
52.0% (419)
Away
50.8% (862)
44.8% (348)
By Period
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
51.8%
51.5%
P2
51.4%
45.9%
P3
54.5%
48.1%
OT
66.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 18:10 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 03:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 2 | 16:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 2 | 11:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 1 | 16:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 1 | 16:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 1 | 11:32 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |