John Tavares vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (+13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 93.5%
Defensive zone
Tavares 56.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 84.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 85.9%
85.9%
14.1%
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 6: Tavares 6-0 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
0
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
45.4% (527)
+12.1%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
41.2% (17)
+19.3%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
44.9% (138)
+14.2%
On power play, Tavares has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Tavares shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
61.0% (661)
46.1% (336)
Away
55.3% (584)
44.2% (346)
By Period
Tavares
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
58.6%
49.1%
P2
57.8%
45.3%
P3
58.4%
42.0%
OT
66.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
63.4%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 19:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | John Tavares |