Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Tomas Hertl
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 42.5% vs Hertl 52.3% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 66.3%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 66.7%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 71.2%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Nugent-Hopkins
Hertl
Last 10: Nugent-Hopkins 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
5
Nugent-Hopkins
Hertl
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
4
Nugent-Hopkins
Hertl
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (349)
51.6% (1,084)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (88)
44.1% (136)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Hertl
Home
38.5% (231)
55.2% (696)
Away
43.2% (206)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Hertl
P1
40.2%
55.4%
P2
36.0%
54.8%
P3
45.1%
48.9%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
37.1%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
40.7%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 18:48 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 11:45 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 07:04 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 04:05 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 11:56 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 13:55 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 12:56 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 3 | 08:47 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 3 | 08:42 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 10:59 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |