Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs William Karlsson
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Nugent-Hopkins wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.3% vs Karlsson 45.8% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.7%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 74.6%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 62.5%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
Last 6: Nugent-Hopkins 4-2 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (1,011)
47.2% (786)
-2.2%
Power Play
46.7% (135)
54.5% (11)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
31.1% (122)
35.6% (163)
-4.5%
On power play, Karlsson has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (779).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (589).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
Home
43.8% (625)
46.4% (478)
Away
43.9% (643)
44.2% (482)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
P1
47.8%
44.8%
P2
39.5%
45.6%
P3
44.2%
45.5%
Final 5 min
45.5%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
43.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 11:12 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 03:37 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 2 | 10:25 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 1 | 12:32 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 08:13 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 08:07 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |