Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs William Karlsson
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 42.5% vs Karlsson 51.5% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 51.1%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 60.8%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.1%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
Last 5: Nugent-Hopkins 2-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (349)
51.4% (735)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (88)
42.9% (133)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Karlsson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
Home
38.5% (231)
52.3% (524)
Away
43.2% (206)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
P1
40.2%
50.7%
P2
36.0%
51.4%
P3
45.1%
53.2%
OT
50.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
37.1%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
40.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 03:41 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 01:14 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 01:16 | Neutral | William Karlsson |