Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-9.5%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 57.5%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 66.6%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.4%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (231)
58.5% (135)
-10.9%
Power Play
83.3% (12)
80.0% (5)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (21)
44.4% (18)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
Home
51.2% (164)
63.7% (91)
Away
43.0% (100)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
P1
50.0%
54.4%
P2
46.2%
66.7%
P3
49.5%
51.9%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.8%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%