Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs William Karlsson
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 73.3%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 73.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 70.2%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (408)
56.3% (739)
-5.3%
Power Play
0.0% (6)
58.6% (181)
-58.6%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (78)
47.2% (53)
-11.3%
On power play, Karlsson has a +58.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Karlsson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
Home
50.8% (258)
56.5% (462)
Away
44.9% (234)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
P1
51.6%
57.1%
P2
45.2%
55.2%
P3
47.6%
56.7%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 10:41 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 19:30 | Defensive | William Karlsson |