Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs William Karlsson

2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

William Karlsson holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-10.1%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Nugent-Hopkins 59.0%
Defensive zone Nugent-Hopkins 65.7%
Neutral zone Nugent-Hopkins 63.5%
Result Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Nugent-Hopkins Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3 - 5 (8 meetings)
3
5
Nugent-Hopkins Karlsson
Last 8: Nugent-Hopkins 3-5 Karlsson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
Nugent-Hopkins Karlsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nugent-Hopkins Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nugent-Hopkins Karlsson
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (527)
55.3% (897)
-9.9%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
61.1% (113)
-19.9%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (138)
50.8% (132)
-5.9%
On power play, Karlsson has a +19.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
Home
46.1% (336)
58.6% (560)
Away
44.2% (346)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
P1
49.1%
55.8%
P2
45.3%
55.6%
P3
42.0%
55.7%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
39.6%
56.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%
50.0%
45.2%
Karlsson
64.0%
57.5%
55.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 25, 2023 2 19:26 Neutral Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Jan 14, 2023 3 13:09 Defensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Jan 14, 2023 3 13:01 Offensive William Karlsson
Jan 14, 2023 3 01:15 Offensive William Karlsson
Jan 14, 2023 2 14:31 Offensive William Karlsson
Jan 14, 2023 2 13:57 Neutral William Karlsson
Jan 14, 2023 2 00:29 Defensive William Karlsson
Nov 19, 2022 1 17:22 Offensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins