Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs William Karlsson
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 59.0%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 65.7%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 63.5%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
Last 8: Nugent-Hopkins 3-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (527)
55.3% (897)
-9.9%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
61.1% (113)
-19.9%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (138)
50.8% (132)
-5.9%
On power play, Karlsson has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
Home
46.1% (336)
58.6% (560)
Away
44.2% (346)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
P1
49.1%
55.8%
P2
45.3%
55.6%
P3
42.0%
55.7%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
39.6%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 19:26 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 13:09 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 13:01 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 01:15 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 14:31 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 13:57 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:29 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |