Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Yanni Gourde
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Nugent-Hopkins wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 47.7% vs Gourde 45.6% (+1.9%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 63.3%
Defensive zone
Gourde 66.2%
Neutral zone
Gourde 53.4%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (189)
47.1% (463)
+0.5%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
36.4% (11)
+63.6%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
29.9% (67)
-0.5%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +63.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Gourde is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
Home
48.5% (132)
42.3% (215)
Away
43.4% (76)
46.3% (326)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
P1
51.4%
44.8%
P2
41.3%
49.1%
P3
48.5%
40.1%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
44.7%