Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Yanni Gourde
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% vs Gourde 48.2% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 63.4%
Defensive zone
Gourde 53.7%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.4%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
12
(21 meetings)
9
12
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
Last 10: Nugent-Hopkins 5-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
5
4
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
5
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
3
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (8,756)
48.4% (4,954)
-3.5%
Power Play
50.7% (839)
57.4% (376)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (879)
39.9% (554)
-2.0%
On power play, Gourde has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
Home
46.5% (5,350)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
42.9% (5,136)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
P1
45.1%
49.9%
P2
43.9%
47.4%
P3
45.3%
47.5%
OT
43.5%
37.0%
Final 5 min
43.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:37 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 19:17 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 02:54 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 13:56 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 09:18 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 06:03 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 15:48 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 03:56 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 13:48 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 3 | 05:54 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |