Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Yanni Gourde
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% vs Gourde 49.7% (-1.1%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.8%
Defensive zone
Gourde 50.9%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.2%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (479)
51.2% (469)
-0.9%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
42.9% (21)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (50)
37.5% (48)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Gourde is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
Home
48.9% (270)
47.8% (301)
Away
48.1% (287)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
P1
48.7%
47.3%
P2
50.0%
53.4%
P3
47.3%
48.6%
OT
36.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.8%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%