Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Yanni Gourde
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Nugent-Hopkins wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 42.5% vs Gourde 49.5% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 51.2%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 61.4%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.2%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
Last 5: Nugent-Hopkins 2-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (349)
49.1% (731)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (88)
48.2% (85)
-16.4%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Gourde is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
Home
38.5% (231)
50.9% (479)
Away
43.2% (206)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
P1
40.2%
51.2%
P2
36.0%
49.8%
P3
45.1%
47.5%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
37.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
40.7%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2021 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 3 | 05:54 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |