Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Yanni Gourde
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% vs Gourde 46.0% (+2.6%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 68.1%
Defensive zone
Gourde 69.2%
Neutral zone
Gourde 52.3%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (231)
47.2% (654)
+0.4%
Power Play
83.3% (12)
45.0% (20)
+38.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (21)
32.2% (87)
+1.1%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +38.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
Home
51.2% (164)
44.1% (322)
Away
43.0% (100)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
P1
50.0%
42.4%
P2
46.2%
49.8%
P3
49.5%
44.3%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.8%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%