Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Yanni Gourde
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% vs Gourde 49.7% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.6%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 68.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 57.9%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
Last 9: Nugent-Hopkins 3-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
3
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (527)
49.1% (847)
-3.7%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
79.5% (44)
-38.3%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (138)
39.5% (81)
+5.4%
On power play, Gourde has a +38.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
Home
46.1% (336)
50.1% (491)
Away
44.2% (346)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
P1
49.1%
54.7%
P2
45.3%
45.0%
P3
42.0%
49.4%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.2%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 13:56 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 09:18 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 06:03 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 15:48 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 03:56 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 13:48 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |