Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Yanni Gourde
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% vs Gourde 48.3% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 63.2%
Defensive zone
Gourde 53.6%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.6%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
12
(21 meetings)
9
12
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
Last 10: Nugent-Hopkins 5-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
5
4
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
5
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
3
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (8,714)
48.5% (4,763)
-3.6%
Power Play
50.3% (829)
57.5% (367)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (875)
39.9% (534)
-2.1%
On power play, Gourde has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,805).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Gourde is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,791).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
Home
46.4% (5,318)
49.4% (2,808)
Away
42.9% (5,112)
47.2% (2,856)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
P1
45.1%
50.4%
P2
43.8%
47.2%
P3
45.2%
47.2%
OT
43.5%
38.5%
Final 5 min
43.7%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.7%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:37 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 19:17 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 02:54 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 13:56 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 09:18 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 06:03 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 15:48 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 03:56 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 13:48 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 3 | 05:54 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |