Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 52.3% vs O'Reilly 56.2% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 50.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 86.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 76.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 78.2%
21.8%
78.2%
Jenner
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Jenner
O'Reilly
Last 7: Jenner 5-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Jenner
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (234)
56.9% (1,203)
-3.1%
Power Play
49.1% (53)
60.2% (329)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
50.4% (280)
+6.7%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Jenner is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Jenner shoots left. O'Reilly is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Home / Away
Jenner
O'Reilly
Home
55.1% (127)
58.6% (879)
Away
51.5% (167)
54.6% (933)
By Period
Jenner
O'Reilly
P1
46.2%
55.6%
P2
51.0%
57.9%
P3
61.2%
55.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2016 | 3 | 11:37 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Apr 8, 2016 | 3 | 08:29 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Apr 8, 2016 | 3 | 08:10 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Apr 8, 2016 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Apr 8, 2016 | 1 | 16:32 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 19, 2016 | 1 | 18:03 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 19, 2016 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |