Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Point wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 45.6% vs O'Reilly 57.6% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 74.6%
Defensive zone
Point 61.3%
Neutral zone
Point 76.7%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Point
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Point
O'Reilly
Last 10: Point 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Point
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
4
Point
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (462)
57.9% (1,179)
-13.1%
Power Play
41.7% (48)
63.0% (292)
-21.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
53.8% (320)
-3.8%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Point is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (383).
Point shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Point
O'Reilly
Home
46.3% (315)
61.3% (884)
Away
42.4% (217)
54.8% (907)
By Period
Point
O'Reilly
P1
36.9%
55.5%
P2
48.7%
61.0%
P3
47.4%
56.8%
OT
45.5%
67.7%
Final 5 min
45.8%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
44.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 14:34 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 09:07 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 00:22 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 08:07 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 09:26 | Defensive | Brayden Point |