Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 49.3% vs O'Reilly 56.2% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 71.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 63.5%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 54.4%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Lindholm
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lindholm
O'Reilly
Last 6: Lindholm 2-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lindholm
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Lindholm
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (305)
56.9% (1,203)
-9.7%
Power Play
59.8% (102)
60.2% (329)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
29.6% (27)
50.4% (280)
-20.8%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Lindholm is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Lindholm shoots right. O'Reilly is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (701).
Home / Away
Lindholm
O'Reilly
Home
48.5% (198)
58.6% (879)
Away
49.6% (236)
54.6% (933)
By Period
Lindholm
O'Reilly
P1
52.8%
55.6%
P2
51.6%
57.9%
P3
44.1%
55.7%
OT
42.9%
62.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
49.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 11:41 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 1 | 14:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 3 | 00:07 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |