Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Benn wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 46.7% vs O'Reilly 52.6% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 78.0%
Defensive zone
Benn 82.2%
Neutral zone
Benn 78.5%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 80.2%
80.2%
19.8%
Benn
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Benn
O'Reilly
Last 10: Benn 1-9 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
6
Benn
O'Reilly
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
5
Benn
O'Reilly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (612)
52.5% (1,177)
-6.1%
Power Play
43.2% (95)
54.6% (130)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
57.6% (33)
52.8% (108)
+4.8%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Benn is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Benn shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,027).
Home / Away
Benn
O'Reilly
Home
48.5% (377)
54.9% (669)
Away
43.9% (374)
51.0% (774)
By Period
Benn
O'Reilly
P1
40.4%
52.4%
P2
52.1%
56.1%
P3
46.8%
49.8%
OT
36.4%
57.7%
Final 5 min
45.5%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2012 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 3 | 06:06 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 3 | 02:09 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 28, 2011 | 3 | 14:36 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 28, 2011 | 3 | 04:15 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 28, 2011 | 2 | 08:18 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 28, 2011 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 18, 2011 | 3 | 03:30 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 18, 2011 | 2 | 03:02 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 3 | 12:37 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 2 | 19:10 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 2 | 14:27 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 2 | 09:09 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 1 | 07:34 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 1 | 05:36 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |