Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.2% vs O'Reilly 59.5% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 76.8%
Defensive zone
Benn 65.3%
Neutral zone
Benn 72.2%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Benn
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Benn
O'Reilly
Last 7: Benn 2-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Benn
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Benn
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (534)
60.3% (1,517)
-7.3%
Power Play
54.4% (136)
61.5% (387)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (56)
55.0% (220)
-12.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Benn is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Benn shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,411).
Home / Away
Benn
O'Reilly
Home
53.5% (383)
62.5% (1,143)
Away
51.3% (343)
57.1% (981)
By Period
Benn
O'Reilly
P1
54.0%
56.8%
P2
51.7%
64.6%
P3
50.9%
58.5%
OT
75.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.2%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 12:40 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 17:44 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 01:58 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 00:25 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 11:48 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 06:21 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |