Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.8% vs 56.6%). Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Benn wins 58.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 54.7% vs O'Reilly 56.2% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 57.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 86.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 66.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Benn
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
Benn
O'Reilly
Last 10: Benn 8-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
5
2
Benn
O'Reilly
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
3
0
Benn
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (299)
57.3% (1,073)
-2.8%
Power Play
59.2% (103)
58.5% (258)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (35)
50.7% (225)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Benn is 58.5% vs left-shot opponents (236).
Benn shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (962).
Home / Away
Benn
O'Reilly
Home
57.8% (223)
59.2% (765)
Away
53.7% (214)
54.0% (791)
By Period
Benn
O'Reilly
P1
52.3%
55.6%
P2
56.6%
61.0%
P3
57.2%
52.3%
OT
70.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
62.0%
58.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
55.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 09:56 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 03:46 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 00:10 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 2 | 19:30 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 2 | 16:49 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 8, 2020 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 19:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 15:31 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 02:52 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |