Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Granlund wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 46.1% vs O'Reilly 56.5% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 68.3%
Defensive zone
Granlund 55.5%
Neutral zone
Granlund 61.9%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Granlund
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Granlund
O'Reilly
Last 10: Granlund 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
0
Granlund
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Granlund
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
4
Granlund
O'Reilly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (235)
57.1% (1,367)
-10.7%
Power Play
43.6% (39)
59.4% (286)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
21.4% (14)
52.5% (257)
-31.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +31.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Granlund is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Granlund shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,201).
Home / Away
Granlund
O'Reilly
Home
42.0% (143)
59.2% (936)
Away
47.6% (145)
54.6% (974)
By Period
Granlund
O'Reilly
P1
36.0%
57.3%
P2
44.2%
57.5%
P3
53.4%
55.0%
OT
57.1%
71.1%
Final 5 min
40.0%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2019 | 2 | 19:57 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 2 | 00:18 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 1 | 18:05 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 1 | 13:25 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 16:26 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |