Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Granlund wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 47.0% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 63.8%
Defensive zone
Granlund 86.5%
Neutral zone
Granlund 73.6%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Granlund
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Granlund
O'Reilly
Last 10: Granlund 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Granlund
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Granlund
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
4
Granlund
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (885)
55.0% (1,084)
-8.3%
Power Play
44.9% (69)
56.8% (303)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (98)
40.3% (149)
+8.7%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Granlund is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Granlund shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Granlund
O'Reilly
Home
51.1% (495)
54.8% (759)
Away
42.9% (557)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Granlund
O'Reilly
P1
49.9%
55.3%
P2
46.4%
51.9%
P3
44.3%
54.2%
OT
25.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
42.2%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 04:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 09:37 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 17:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 13:55 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 09:58 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 01:10 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 12:41 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 12:27 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 18:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 10:55 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |