Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.4% vs Lafferty 43.5% (+15.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 83.2%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 61.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 55.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 83.2%
83.2%
16.8%
O'Reilly
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
O'Reilly
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (1,064)
40.9% (232)
+15.7%
Power Play
60.4% (260)
100.0% (1)
-39.6%
Penalty Kill
54.0% (261)
40.0% (30)
+14.0%
On power play, Lafferty has a +39.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (582).
O'Reilly shoots left. Lafferty is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Lafferty
Home
54.9% (801)
38.2% (123)
Away
58.7% (784)
43.6% (140)
By Period
O'Reilly
Lafferty
P1
58.0%
41.6%
P2
56.7%
36.7%
P3
55.4%
45.5%
Final 5 min
56.4%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
41.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 12:45 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |