Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). O'Reilly wins 59.0% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.2% vs Laughton 45.1% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 83.1%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 89.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 89.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 88.6%
88.6%
11.4%
O'Reilly
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
O'Reilly
Laughton
Last 6: O'Reilly 6-0 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Laughton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
0
O'Reilly
Laughton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
0
O'Reilly
Laughton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (1,203)
43.8% (381)
+13.1%
Power Play
60.2% (329)
100.0% (1)
-39.8%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (280)
33.3% (6)
+17.1%
On power play, Laughton has a +39.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. O'Reilly is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
O'Reilly shoots left. Laughton is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Laughton
Home
58.6% (879)
40.1% (172)
Away
54.6% (933)
46.8% (216)
By Period
O'Reilly
Laughton
P1
55.6%
46.1%
P2
57.9%
40.7%
P3
55.7%
44.8%
Final 5 min
54.4%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.5%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2015 | 3 | 17:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 3 | 17:05 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 1 | 19:51 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 2 | 04:03 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 2 | 03:54 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 1 | 12:47 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |