Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 55.2% vs Laughton 47.5% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 80.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 71.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 64.1%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
O'Reilly
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
O'Reilly
Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
0
O'Reilly
Laughton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
O'Reilly
Laughton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (690)
47.4% (719)
+8.7%
Power Play
64.6% (96)
50.4% (129)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (109)
45.0% (229)
+0.9%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
O'Reilly shoots left. Laughton is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (694).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Laughton
Home
58.3% (408)
50.2% (520)
Away
53.6% (487)
44.5% (557)
By Period
O'Reilly
Laughton
P1
57.7%
44.2%
P2
54.8%
49.1%
P3
55.2%
48.4%
OT
45.5%
36.8%
Final 5 min
50.5%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 18:37 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 16:37 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 10:04 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |