Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). O'Reilly wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 53.7% vs Laughton 49.0% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 77.5%
Defensive zone
Laughton 56.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 62.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
O'Reilly
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
O'Reilly
Laughton
Last 9: O'Reilly 5-4 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
4
1
O'Reilly
Laughton
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
1
3
O'Reilly
Laughton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,084)
49.1% (761)
+5.9%
Power Play
56.8% (303)
49.3% (69)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (149)
47.6% (147)
-7.3%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
O'Reilly shoots left. Laughton is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Laughton
Home
54.8% (759)
50.7% (485)
Away
53.0% (777)
47.2% (492)
By Period
O'Reilly
Laughton
P1
55.3%
46.5%
P2
51.9%
51.1%
P3
54.2%
49.5%
OT
64.7%
35.7%
Final 5 min
56.3%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 10:08 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 09:52 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 16:39 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 13:32 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 02:02 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 01:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 01:24 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |