Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.4% vs Laughton 50.9% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 71.9%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 76.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 71.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
O'Reilly
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
O'Reilly
Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Laughton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
1
O'Reilly
Laughton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
0
O'Reilly
Laughton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (1,064)
53.1% (636)
+3.5%
Power Play
60.4% (260)
63.6% (44)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
54.0% (261)
30.9% (94)
+23.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
O'Reilly shoots left. Laughton is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Laughton
Home
54.9% (801)
53.7% (454)
Away
58.7% (784)
47.2% (320)
By Period
O'Reilly
Laughton
P1
58.0%
48.4%
P2
56.7%
51.5%
P3
55.4%
53.4%
OT
64.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.4%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 09:09 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 09:29 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |