Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 57.3% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 55.3% vs Laughton 50.7% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 79.4%
Defensive zone
Laughton 54.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 57.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
O'Reilly
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
O'Reilly
Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Laughton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (983)
52.3% (398)
+3.9%
Power Play
55.5% (254)
51.4% (37)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
52.0% (102)
41.3% (63)
+10.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
O'Reilly shoots left. Laughton is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Laughton
Home
56.2% (697)
51.2% (285)
Away
55.1% (642)
50.2% (213)
By Period
O'Reilly
Laughton
P1
54.5%
50.0%
P2
55.5%
55.9%
P3
57.1%
47.0%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 14:18 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |