Scouting Report
Scott Laughton holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 54.9% vs Laughton 56.0% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 81.4%
Defensive zone
Laughton 78.9%
Neutral zone
Laughton 52.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
O'Reilly
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
O'Reilly
Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Laughton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
1
O'Reilly
Laughton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (826)
55.2% (455)
+0.2%
Power Play
57.9% (221)
75.0% (4)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (129)
62.8% (137)
-12.4%
On power play, Laughton has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (662).
O'Reilly shoots left. Laughton is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Laughton
Home
55.8% (579)
57.4% (263)
Away
54.9% (597)
56.8% (333)
By Period
O'Reilly
Laughton
P1
57.7%
55.3%
P2
54.8%
61.4%
P3
54.3%
53.5%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:56 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |