Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Laughton on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). O'Reilly wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.5% vs Laughton 53.6% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Laughton leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Laughton 62.3%
Defensive zone
Laughton 68.5%
Neutral zone
Laughton 65.6%
Result
Scott Laughton favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
O'Reilly
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
O'Reilly
Laughton
Last 10: O'Reilly 3-7 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
1
3
O'Reilly
Laughton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
1
2
O'Reilly
Laughton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Laughton
1
2
O'Reilly
Laughton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (1,367)
54.9% (556)
+2.2%
Power Play
59.4% (286)
66.7% (6)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (257)
47.9% (73)
+4.6%
On power play, Laughton has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,201).
O'Reilly shoots left. Laughton is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (445).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Laughton
Home
59.2% (936)
53.3% (302)
Away
54.6% (974)
55.0% (333)
By Period
O'Reilly
Laughton
P1
57.3%
52.5%
P2
57.5%
57.6%
P3
55.0%
51.8%
Final 5 min
54.7%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.9%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 09:48 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 09:39 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 12:38 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 07:14 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 3 | 11:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 3 | 03:46 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 2 | 13:29 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 2 | 00:41 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |