Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +24.1% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.4% vs Pinto 44.1% (+24.1%)
Offensive zone
Pinto 52.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 51.5%
Neutral zone
Pinto 53.1%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
O'Reilly
Pinto
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (1,064)
34.1% (41)
+22.5%
Power Play
60.4% (260)
28.6% (7)
+31.8%
Penalty Kill
54.0% (261)
25.0% (4)
+29.0%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +31.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (582).
O'Reilly shoots left. Pinto is 36.6% vs left-shot opponents (41).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Pinto
Home
54.9% (801)
35.0% (40)
Away
58.7% (784)
25.0% (12)
By Period
O'Reilly
Pinto
P1
58.0%
29.4%
P2
56.7%
44.4%
P3
55.4%
23.5%
Final 5 min
56.4%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
32.7%