Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 55.2% vs Pinto 51.9% (+3.7%)
Offensive zone
Pinto 56.8%
Defensive zone
Pinto 54.9%
Neutral zone
Pinto 60.3%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
O'Reilly
Pinto
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (690)
52.5% (825)
+3.6%
Power Play
64.6% (96)
40.0% (10)
+24.6%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (109)
44.4% (27)
+1.5%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. O'Reilly is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (292).
O'Reilly shoots left. Pinto is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Pinto
Home
58.3% (408)
52.8% (453)
Away
53.6% (487)
51.3% (409)
By Period
O'Reilly
Pinto
P1
57.7%
49.0%
P2
54.8%
53.5%
P3
55.2%
53.7%
OT
45.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
52.1%