Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). O'Reilly wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 53.7% vs Pinto 50.5% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 90.7%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 60.9%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 76.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
O'Reilly
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
0
(9 meetings)
9
0
O'Reilly
Pinto
Last 9: O'Reilly 9-0 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
0
O'Reilly
Pinto
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
4
0
O'Reilly
Pinto
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
0
O'Reilly
Pinto
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,084)
51.2% (463)
+3.8%
Power Play
56.8% (303)
50.0% (14)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (149)
36.8% (19)
+3.5%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (555).
O'Reilly shoots left. Pinto is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Pinto
Home
54.8% (759)
52.2% (205)
Away
53.0% (777)
49.5% (291)
By Period
O'Reilly
Pinto
P1
55.3%
48.7%
P2
51.9%
51.8%
P3
54.2%
51.2%
OT
64.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:08 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 05:14 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 18:31 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 11:40 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 03:30 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 16:37 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2024 | 2 | 15:43 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2024 | 1 | 05:51 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |