Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +23.5% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 55.2% vs Wright 45.8% (+23.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 57.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 79.9%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 68.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
O'Reilly
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
O'Reilly
Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Wright
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (690)
32.3% (31)
+23.8%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. O'Reilly is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (292).
O'Reilly shoots left. Wright is 31.8% vs left-shot opponents (22).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Wright
Home
58.3% (408)
38.5% (13)
Away
53.6% (487)
27.8% (18)
By Period
O'Reilly
Wright
P1
57.7%
40.0%
P2
54.8%
37.5%
P3
55.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
32.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2022 | 3 | 06:22 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |