Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 53.7% vs Wright 50.3% (+3.3%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 54.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 57.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 53.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
O'Reilly
Wright
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,084)
52.6% (76)
+2.4%
Power Play
56.8% (303)
20.0% (5)
+36.8%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +36.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (555).
O'Reilly shoots left. Wright is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Wright
Home
54.8% (759)
58.5% (41)
Away
53.0% (777)
42.5% (40)
By Period
O'Reilly
Wright
P1
55.3%
50.0%
P2
51.9%
46.2%
P3
54.2%
55.6%
Final 5 min
56.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
50.6%