Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 52.5%). Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 51.4% vs Crosby 52.4% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 63.9%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 60.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 62.8%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
O'Reilly
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
O'Reilly
Crosby
Last 7: O'Reilly 2-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
4
O'Reilly
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
0
O'Reilly
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
O'Reilly
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (194)
50.9% (1,345)
+0.6%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
59.5% (439)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (70)
44.7% (103)
+6.7%
On power play, Crosby has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. O'Reilly is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (247).
O'Reilly shoots left. Crosby is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,180).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Crosby
Home
50.3% (185)
53.9% (941)
Away
53.2% (186)
51.2% (946)
By Period
O'Reilly
Crosby
P1
51.0%
49.3%
P2
48.9%
54.5%
P3
53.3%
53.9%
OT
68.8%
48.6%
Final 5 min
53.3%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
51.8%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2013 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 3 | 03:40 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 2 | 03:18 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 1 | 17:28 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 1 | 09:57 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 1 | 04:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |