Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +18.7% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.4% vs Stützle 40.1% (+18.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 54.2%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 62.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 55.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
O'Reilly
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
O'Reilly
Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Stützle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
1
O'Reilly
Stützle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (1,064)
37.3% (458)
+19.3%
Power Play
60.4% (260)
100.0% (3)
-39.6%
Penalty Kill
54.0% (261)
50.0% (12)
+4.0%
On power play, Stützle has a +39.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
O'Reilly shoots left. Stützle is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Stützle
Home
54.9% (801)
42.8% (229)
Away
58.7% (784)
33.6% (244)
By Period
O'Reilly
Stützle
P1
58.0%
41.8%
P2
56.7%
39.0%
P3
55.4%
33.1%
Final 5 min
56.4%
34.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
56.8%
Stützle
46.0%▼
52.5%
38.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 17:02 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 11:56 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |