Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 57.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 55.3% vs Stützle 48.2% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 69.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 62.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 62.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
O'Reilly
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
O'Reilly
Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Stützle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (983)
47.7% (398)
+8.5%
Power Play
55.5% (254)
50.0% (10)
+5.5%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
O'Reilly shoots left. Stützle is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Stützle
Home
56.2% (697)
53.4% (236)
Away
55.1% (642)
40.1% (172)
By Period
O'Reilly
Stützle
P1
54.5%
49.1%
P2
55.5%
41.3%
P3
57.1%
53.9%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
38.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2025 | 1 | 06:15 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |