Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). O'Reilly wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 53.7% vs Stützle 47.2% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 92.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 69.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 88.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 86.7%
86.7%
13.3%
O'Reilly
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
O'Reilly
Stützle
Last 6: O'Reilly 5-1 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
O'Reilly
Stützle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Stützle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
0
O'Reilly
Stützle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,084)
45.3% (468)
+9.7%
Power Play
56.8% (303)
62.5% (24)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (149)
60.0% (20)
-19.7%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
O'Reilly shoots left. Stützle is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Stützle
Home
54.8% (759)
46.3% (270)
Away
53.0% (777)
47.1% (242)
By Period
O'Reilly
Stützle
P1
55.3%
46.1%
P2
51.9%
45.8%
P3
54.2%
48.2%
OT
64.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2024 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2024 | 2 | 17:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2024 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2024 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2024 | 1 | 16:30 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2024 | 1 | 06:08 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |