Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 53.7% vs Zegras 43.3% (+15.5%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 57.9%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 62.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 51.8%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
O'Reilly
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,084)
39.8% (128)
+15.2%
Power Play
56.8% (303)
22.2% (9)
+34.6%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (149)
0.0% (1)
+40.3%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +40.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
O'Reilly shoots left. Zegras is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Zegras
Home
54.8% (759)
29.7% (74)
Away
53.0% (777)
48.4% (64)
By Period
O'Reilly
Zegras
P1
55.3%
40.7%
P2
51.9%
35.1%
P3
54.2%
41.0%
OT
64.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.4%